Luck Of The Draw
Tomorrow, the draw will take place for the Eurovision Song Contest Final and Semi-Final 2007. It’s always a good event which leaves fans full of speculation and thoughts on how the draw could shape the results. Generally, I don’t think the draw is overly important, but…
- A later draw does generally mean a better result, it has been statistically proven and everything.
- Last year, none of the first nine songs performed in the Grand Final actually finished in the top half of the table.
- A qualifier from the semi can reveal a lot about how influential the draw can be. In 2004, the Netherlands performed last in the semi-final and finished 6th. It was drawn to perform seventh in the Grand Final and, with it being a rather quiet song, it only came in 20th. Likewise in 2005, Latvia scraped through the semi-finals by 4 points starting in fifth position. It was drawn for twenty-third for the Grand Final and finished 5th, just 4 points off 3rd place.
So, what should we look out for? Well with the new rules this year which allows the first few names to be picked out of the hat to choose where they can perform, it is possible that some song-clashes may be avoided. There are certainly some similar songs in both the Final and Semi-Final, and some countries won’t want to be drawn by other countries. For example…
SEMI-FINAL
Norway & Portugal – both have similar style latino songs with similar titles.
Serbia & FYR Macedonia – both rather nice Balkan ballads that are likely to qualify, could both lose points if drawn together.
Netherlands & Belgium – will NOT want an early draw, they will want to qualify,
and with them both not being the most popular countries to vote for, they’ll be looking for late draws, especially as both have decent songs.
Croatia, Czech Republic & Iceland – a threesome of rock could be disastrous if drawn together!
FINAL
Armenia, Bosnia & Herzegovina, Ireland, Lithuania – all rather similar downbeat ballads. If drawn together, and then Serbia & FYR Macedonia qualify and get drawn by them, they will all get lost.
Romania, France – have similar entries by all male groups. If Israel qualify and get drawn with them too it could all get rather repetitive…
Sweden & UK – I’m only predicting here, but if The Ark performed against a MYMU-triumphant Hawkins & Brown I fear that both extravagant rock numbers would get lost.
So you can see how the draw could potentially affect things! There’s a lot of songs that could stand out, but also a lot of songs that could drown in a sea of similar genres… tomorrow’s draw might help us more at looking at the possible winners and losers.
- A later draw does generally mean a better result, it has been statistically proven and everything.
- Last year, none of the first nine songs performed in the Grand Final actually finished in the top half of the table.
- A qualifier from the semi can reveal a lot about how influential the draw can be. In 2004, the Netherlands performed last in the semi-final and finished 6th. It was drawn to perform seventh in the Grand Final and, with it being a rather quiet song, it only came in 20th. Likewise in 2005, Latvia scraped through the semi-finals by 4 points starting in fifth position. It was drawn for twenty-third for the Grand Final and finished 5th, just 4 points off 3rd place.
So, what should we look out for? Well with the new rules this year which allows the first few names to be picked out of the hat to choose where they can perform, it is possible that some song-clashes may be avoided. There are certainly some similar songs in both the Final and Semi-Final, and some countries won’t want to be drawn by other countries. For example…
SEMI-FINAL
Norway & Portugal – both have similar style latino songs with similar titles.
Serbia & FYR Macedonia – both rather nice Balkan ballads that are likely to qualify, could both lose points if drawn together.
Netherlands & Belgium – will NOT want an early draw, they will want to qualify,
and with them both not being the most popular countries to vote for, they’ll be looking for late draws, especially as both have decent songs.
Croatia, Czech Republic & Iceland – a threesome of rock could be disastrous if drawn together!
FINAL
Armenia, Bosnia & Herzegovina, Ireland, Lithuania – all rather similar downbeat ballads. If drawn together, and then Serbia & FYR Macedonia qualify and get drawn by them, they will all get lost.
Romania, France – have similar entries by all male groups. If Israel qualify and get drawn with them too it could all get rather repetitive…
Sweden & UK – I’m only predicting here, but if The Ark performed against a MYMU-triumphant Hawkins & Brown I fear that both extravagant rock numbers would get lost.
So you can see how the draw could potentially affect things! There’s a lot of songs that could stand out, but also a lot of songs that could drown in a sea of similar genres… tomorrow’s draw might help us more at looking at the possible winners and losers.
posted by ESCChris at
10:49 AM
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